Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.468300 16.869470 19.484880 22.537358 25.993893 29.778110 34.225946
2025-06-01 10.043710 13.218625 17.037599 21.931173 27.992711 35.209217 44.400805
2025-06-08 7.260233 10.561284 14.865546 20.804191 28.687157 38.683156 52.190473
2025-06-15 6.097047 9.620646 14.521843 21.687880 31.719586 45.060228 63.895767
2025-06-22 5.111588 8.685406 13.953974 22.062207 33.949684 50.415473 74.541683
2025-06-29 4.167936 7.609002 12.972535 21.635675 34.893801 53.956869 82.843488
2025-07-06 3.340403 6.546761 11.824205 20.754201 34.988897 56.185098 89.321108
2025-07-13 3.073780 6.375395 12.048602 22.002769 38.375562 63.414279 103.489637
2025-07-20 2.817055 6.170621 12.174721 23.076099 41.539685 70.481182 117.815669
2025-07-27 2.530095 5.854540 12.055098 23.699021 43.991568 76.568105 130.965967
2025-08-03 2.220734 5.435978 11.687390 23.831016 45.604242 81.390432 142.376688
2025-08-10 1.889415 4.907831 11.037179 23.367603 46.127782 84.440585 151.086124
2025-08-17 1.568788 4.363393 10.326327 22.803723 46.592837 87.707753 160.854215
2025-08-24 1.292498 3.863337 9.638831 22.222569 47.015768 91.017750 171.077965
2025-08-31 1.023400 3.309452 8.738686 21.087821 46.273916 92.225064 177.794659
2025-09-07 0.936379 3.206894 8.819578 21.982800 49.490483 100.655195 197.480667
2025-09-14 0.828623 3.019196 8.670958 22.361675 51.710437 107.406770 214.579829
2025-09-21 0.693778 2.714120 8.185870 21.930173 52.239993 111.047619 226.294227
2025-09-28 0.560568 2.371240 7.540196 21.038331 51.712347 112.628287 234.308321
2025-10-05 0.534682 2.374283 7.798440 22.301576 55.861185 123.443244 259.983716
2025-10-12 0.503117 2.349236 7.976177 23.387429 59.706549 133.878345 285.450693
2025-10-19 0.458448 2.263704 7.970869 24.017583 62.592153 142.571365 308.027071
2025-10-26 0.403695 2.122150 7.779443 24.151107 64.367332 149.129411 326.814979